Kasich Drops: Is Trump the future?

Right after I wrote my last post on Texas Senator Ted Cruz dropping out of the presidential race, I received a notification on my phone stating Ohio Governor John Kasich was suspending his campaign as well. I’ll link that post here just in case you missed it.

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Photo credits: Politico

Kasich Drops 

If you would have asked me four months ago if John Kasich would still be in the race by May, I would have said you’re crazy. But, after hard work, dedication, and a message of unity from a divided republican party, Kasich seemed to be the candidate that represented the GOP well. Not too radical, not too outspoken. Just a respectable conservative man with Christian values who had a positive outlook for the future of his party. He avoided negative commentary and spoke with optimism. To me, Kasich was the happy median in the republican race, and that was his selling point for his supporters.

I firmly believed that if Ted Cruz wouldn’t have dropped out, Kasich would have stayed in, especially after the two teamed up last week in an attempt to stop Trump’s delegate lead going into the convention. There is no coincidence that less than a day after Cruz suspended his campaign, Kasich followed in his footsteps. Although only receive 153 delegates, Kasich ended his campaign in forth place behind Marco Rubio, who ended his presidential bid in March. Mathematically, it was impossible for Kasich to win the nomination and has been that way for months. Regardless, the Governor made it this far.

Convention

It’s clear after Indiana that Trump has basically secured the nomination by his delegate count. But can Trump still lose at the convention? Since Cruz and Kasich only suspended their campaigns, they are technically still in the race. But, after Indiana, it is almost mathematically impossible for that to happen. As it stands right now, Trump will likely win the nomination.

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Photo Credits: The New York Times 

Trump and the Media 

Donald Trump has not secured all 1,237 delegates to win the nomination, but after the suspension of the remaining candidates campaigns, there isn’t much stopping Trump from winning. The only real thing stopping Trump from securing the nomination in June, is how hard the #NeverTrump campaign can really affect the remaining republican voters in the West.

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Photo Credits: The New York Times 

The media has been in the light of some controversy with how explicitly certain news outlets follow the Trump campaign. But can you really blame the media? They need ratings to stay relevant, and Trump gives high ratings. Well, actually, there is some room for argument. The New York Times reported that trump earned $400 million in free media last month, which amounts to the amount of money John McCain spent in his entire 2008 presidential run. In February alone, Trump had more media coverage than Clinton and Cruz combined. Trump’s immense support can lightly be traced back to media coverage. There isn’t a day that goes by where a story about Trump’s campaign is circulating around the internet. But who am I to criticize? On my blog alone, Trump is mentioned probably 100 times. The truth is, his principles, speech, demeanor, and policy all give him the spotlight. Trump is controversial and people like that. It is what has made this campaign trail so exciting and crazy all at the same time. After all this one thing is certain: Trump will be the republican nominee for President of the United States.

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Cruz Drops Out- analysis and Thought

After the Indiana primary last night, Tuesday May 3, Texas Senator Ted Cruz has suspended his campaign for President of the United States. But with Indiana being a must win state for Cruz, is anyone really surprised the Senator dropped? Well, a little. Especially after joining forces with Ohio Governor John Kasich last week to stop Trump.

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Photo Credits: Politico 

Cruz and Kasich

About a week ago, Ted Cruz and John Kasich both released statements issuing an alliance in a last minute effort to keep Republican frontrunner Donald Trump from winning the nomination. In the statements, it was clear that Cruz would focus on Indiana, while Kasich focused on Oregon and New Mexico. If both candidates won the states, they would have been able to deny Trump over 1,000 delegates, hindering the republican frontrunner from getting the nomination.

Delegates

Unfortunately, after Trump’s win in Indiana, it is mathematically impossible for Cruz to win the nomination with the remaining delegates. Even though Cruz has explicitly stated he would stay in the race until the convention, it is clear the Senator doesn’t believe anyone can stop Trump from taking the Republican nomination. Going into Indiana, Trump only needed to win 60 percent of the remaining delegates to get the nomination, while Cruz needed a near impossible 90 percent. Kasich has been mathematically out of the race for quite some time. So why hasn’t the Ohio governor dropped? In reality, the race to the white house for the Republican party is now officially over. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Kasich drop after loses in Oregon and New Mexico.

Here is a good link of a delegate tracker for all those interested in the exact numbers.

Cruz Fiorina wasn’t enough

Before Indiana, Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP running mate. This was an unusual move by the Senator as most candidates don’t officially state their running mate until after the nomination for the party is solidified. This can be seen more as a strategic move, as Fiorina was the 2010 Republican senatorial nominee in California. With California coming up on June 7, Cruz was clearly trying to win over as many republican voters as possible in a desperate move to stop Trump. And overall, this move by Cruz was just that: desperate. The Fiorina move seemed to backfire on Cruz as a video went viral of her slipping on stage during the Indiana campaign trail, foreshadowing the inevitable fall of Cruz’s campaign, and his decision to pick Fiorina as a running mate to pick up last minute votes.

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Photo Credits: Politico 

Concluding Thoughts

At this point in the campaign trail, it is safe to say Donald Trump has solidified the nomination for the Republican party. In my personal opinion, Cruz shouldn’t have dropped out of the race. Even if the Senator and Kasich could scavenge some remaining delegates, it would have been easier to fight Trump for the nominate at the convention. With Kasich now moments away from suspending his campaign, it is clear that American has voted. Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for President of the United States.

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Photo Credits: Politico 

Taking a quick break from politics

Hello everyone! I know I haven’t posted in a while, but April is always the worst time to be a college student. Today I am uploading a video for extra credit. I interviewed Jeff Fitzgerald, Sound Recording Technology major at Texas State. Jeff and I discuss politics all the time, but I think it’s great that he can still be well informed about our political process, while majoring in something completely different. 

Sound Recording Technology is unique to Texas State as no other school in the nation offers a program quite like it. Here is my interview with Jeff. I hope everyone learns something a little different about the music industry. Cheers!

 

 

 

College Republican Q and A

A few weeks ago I did a Q and A with a college student who is part of the democratic party and I am happy to announce that today I will continue that same trend with an interview with a college republican.

Sarah Haley is a Junior at Texas State who is a member of the college republicans on campus. Sarah is studying Public Relations with a minor in Political Science and shared some of her thoughts with me on the upcoming election. Thanks for your time Sarah! I had a great time with the interview and I’m glad you’re taking part in this upcoming election. Sarah said she supports and will vote for Texas Senator Ted Cruz.

Q: Thanks for coming on my blog Sarah, it means a lot! So I’m assuming this will be the first time you will be able to vote in a presidential election. How excited are you about participating in the future of this country?

A: No problem at all! Happy to help out!
This will be my first time, although, I could have voted when Obama went into office, but I was a stupid high school student who didn’t vote and didn’t realize the opportunity I was missing out on. So for the upcoming election I am super excited to participate on who our next future president could be!

Q: I know you’re active with the college republicans, which is always good to hear you’re active politically. If you don’t mind me asking, who are looking to vote for in the upcoming election?

A: Yes I really love being involved with CR. I’ll be voting for Ted Cruz if he makes it! (Fingers crossed) Although if he doesn’t make it I plan on sticking with the Republican Party nominee, but I think the rest of the U.S. agrees that they do not know what they will do if Trump is the Republican nominee.

Q: What is it about Senator Cruz that sticks out to you the most?

A: I love that he is from Texas and he sees first hand the issues we face here, specifically the border. While I do not mind people wanting to come here for a better life, I just wish it would happen legally so they can be apart of everything that citizenship entails. One of the things Cruz has spoken about is how he deals with several people jumping through the hoops to try to get into this country legally, but do not get to come because of the influx of people coming here illegally. He sticks to the constitution, he’s of the Christian faith, he’s for the second amendment, great foreign policy, he wants to rebuild the military again after its resent cuts, and along with several other reasons he connects well to his constituents which makes him appealing as a presidential nominee.

Q: I know immigration is a very hot topic for this election. Trump has said he is for building a wall across the border of Mexico to help combat illegal immigration. Some will say this is a radical approach to the issue. Is a wall spanning across the border a viable solution in your eyes?

A: It’s hard to say what exactly could work. There is already some infrastructure throughout the border and possibly getting more would work but just a wall will not handle the situation like Trump said. I feel like there needs to be a higher number of border patrol and more strict enforcement because you see articles of people easily coming over to the US. I feel like it’s the lack of enforcement.  Of course I do not know the best answer but several different things need to happen to get control of the issue.

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Sarah Haley (left) with College Republican members.

Q: Hilary is leading the democratic party and Bernie Sanders is starting to get a little momentum. If Cruz wins the nomination, are you confident in the Senators ability to win the nation from Hilary or Bernie?

A: I’m not confident but I am really hopeful. I’m especially hoping that people will see how Hillary should not even be in the running because of her whole email scandal, which mirrors a situation of a former public official who did a similar thing and went to jail because of it. Since we will be coming of a democratic president, hopefully that will favor a republican like Cruz.

Q: Cruz is slowly sneaking up behind Trump in the delegate race. Moving into the west coast, how pivotal is it for you candidate to secure the closing delegates?

A: It’s very important that Cruz wins the west coast states because like you said they are close in delegates and whether he wins will contribute to whether he will be the nominee over Trump.

Q: Lets talk about your experience in the college republicans. I know even though we’re in Texas, it may seem that republicans are outnumbered on a college campus like ours. How has the diversity here at Texas State helped form your political ideology?

A: It can be very intimidating at times being on a democratic dominated campus because you don’t want to cause controversy or offend someone. It has definitely helped me because it has opened myself up to a wide variety of ideas and it has allowed me to see how others view different issues.

Q: Tomorrow is the march on campus for free education at Old Main. Will you be participating this event that protests college tuition?

A: I will not be participating in the event however, I am glad that students are coming together on an issue they feel is important. Free college is not possible. Money has to come from somewhere to fund the faculty, facilities, and everything else. While I understand their frustration with the burden of insanely high tuition rates, college is not free and it never can be. Unfortunately that is not realistic.

Q: In the near future, candidates will be debating on a stage, party vs. party. What are you looking for in these debates from Cruz? How will he stay composed under pressure against the likes of Trump and the democrats?

A: I’m looking for him to be level headed, passionate, confident and strong. He doesn’t need to attack Trump because that doesn’t look good. He needs to stick to his issues and try to stick to how he can help the US. Stooping down to Trumps arrogant, self-absorbed ways will not help him in the election process it will only bring him down to his level and hurt him in the long run. I’m not sure how he can stay composed against Trump because that’s a hard thing to do, but I’m hoping he will put his mind over matter and realize that his composure is key in matters like this. Whether he keeps his composure through this race will show if he can handle being the president.

Q: Lastly, what would you tell any undecided republican voters that Cruz is the way to go?

A: I would tell them that he has history in politics unlike Trump and while that is appealing to some people, you don’t want a doctor without any medical history or a CEO without any business experience. I would point out that he’s a fellow Texas, he sticks to the constitution, and a lot of the reasons I listed in the 3rd question!

March for Free Education

Hello everyone!

I know I haven’t posted in a while, but being a college student in  April is probably one of the most stressful times of my life. My blog has been written with no restrictions since I started, but, my professor wants us to make a post using only pictures to convey a story to my audience. Since I’m writing a political blog, this is a little harder to do, but hopefully you enjoy what I came up with.

Two days ago, on April 13, 2016, a group of students held a march for free education here at Texas State. This is a perfect example of a peaceful protest used to get ones message across to the masses. I had a lot of fun hearing what these people had to say and witnessing first hand how these demonstrations happen. Hope you all enjoy the pictures! God bless, and see you soon.

 

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Students started their protest at the Vaquero statue on campus, in front of Old Main. 
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One protestor takes a jab at Texas State’s President Denise Trauth about the student debt crisis.
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As protestors rally, Texas State’s very own “Donald Trump” dances and waves his sign in an attempt to bring attention to the organized protest. 
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As children visiting the university pass by, “Donald Trump” tells them to “keep capitalism alive,” and “think before you come to college.” 
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The march finally begins, taking a path down towards the Texas State quad. 
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As the journey through the quad continues, protestors shout, “College is for education, not for private corporations.” 
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“Show me what Democracy looks like? This is what Democracy looks like.” 
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The protest makes its way past the quad and into the Alkek Library before taking a close. Student chant “Banks got bailed out, students got sold out.” 

So there it is everyone. Like I said, I had a great time covering this and I got to hear a lot of interesting ideas from students. I hope the pictures truly represent exactly what can, and does happen on a college campus very frequently.

And remember, always stay involved in the politics and movements that go on all around us. Until next time, cheers!

Q and A with Paul Diaz, Sanders supporter

First and foremost, I have to thank Paul for his willingness to do this interview with me. Although we go to different universities, we still keep in touch with each other. Thanks for all the good memories in high school, and truly being a great and down to Earth friend.

Paul Diaz is a sophomore at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, fulfilling a Philosophy degree with a minor in English. Diaz is a supporter of the Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and will vote for him in the upcoming election. This blog post is intended to show the perspective of a college student voting for a democrat. I will be doing an interview with a college republican in the near future. Thank you, and enjoy!

Q: Thanks for coming out and helping me with my blog Paul. Lets get started. How important do you think it is for college students to vote, especially in this election?

A: I think it’s extremely important both in this election and in general. We can’t afford to be apathetic towards politics.

Q: For you and I, this will be the first time we’ll be able to make our mark in history. Tell me about the emotion behind voting. Are you excited? How do you feel?

A: I’m about as excited as anyone else who takes politics seriously.It’s arguably our most effective way of influencing politics.

Q: You support Bernie Sanders. What is it about his message that appeals to you?

A: I was personally sold by his idea of campaign finance reform and taking back our government from wealthy special interests.

Q: Sanders is also a big proponent of raising the minimum wage, universal healthcare, and free education. How do these particular issues sit with you?

A: Well, I support the minimum wage not only because I believe it should be a living wage, but also because it would be beneficial to the economy, as a number of economists and economic articles have stated. As for healthcare, I’m not crazy about a profit-motivated system being involved when you’re dealing with someone’s health. People these days, particularly close to or at the poverty line, are likely to find themselves in a situation where they have to choose between their health or their financial stability. I think that should not be happening in a country as wealthy as ours. I support free education because I believe that the only way to make a representative electoral system like ours work the way it should be is to have an educated population. The more accessible an education is for others, the better it will be for our democracy.

Q: Bernie Sanders has recently pushed a bit of momentum. Moving into the West Coast, how pivotal are the next few weeks for the Vermont Senator? Do you think he can still win the nomination?

A: The next few weeks will almost certainly make or break his campaign. He has to overcome his deficit in delegates (pledged delegates in particular) or he simply won’t be the nominee. I firmly believe he can still pull it off at this point. Whether or not he will remains to be seen.

Q: Tomorrow night is the big debate which will include both democrat and republican candidates. What are you looking forward most about tomorrow night?
What will you be looking for Sanders to do in order to feed that momentum?

A: I’m looking forward to seeing how Hillary and Bernie will repel the criticisms that they have levied at each other in the past several days. The race for the nomination is definitely getting more heated as time goes by. As for the republican candidates, there’s honestly not much for me to look forward to at this point. You can probably understand why. I think Bernie’s best way to feed his momentum is to continue doing what he’s been doing to create it in the first place: hammer his message, defend himself effectively when he trades blows with Hillary, and land a few good ones on Hillary herself while remaining the statesman politician he’s been throughout his campaign.

Q: There has been a lot of talk in the media lately about Hilary Clinton and her relationship with “fossil fuel money,” according to Bernie Sanders.
How do feel about the battle between both campaigns, demanding apologies to one another?

A: I think everything about this “battle” is pretty trivial, with the major exception of the questions raised about Hillary’s campaign contributions and consequently her integrity. I don’t see apologies being exchanged between them anytime soon, but who knows?

Q: Clinton’s campaign contributions have been an issue in the past and one of her main criticisms. Do you think this will help define her interest? Will it help Bernie?

A: Yes, I absolutely do think her contributions affect her interest, as they do everyone. Here’s a problem with giving Hillary the benefit of the doubt over her campaign contributions: unless you’re willing to have a double standard, you have to grant that same benefit to other politicians. Do you think the large sums of money given to the Republican candidates don’t influence their votes? If you ignore this criticism with one candidate, how can you justify using this attack against the others? The simple fact is that politicians are influenced to some extent by their biggest donors. Bernie does not have a Super PAC affiliated with his campaign nor does he accept large campaign contributions from corporate interests. His campaign has been fueled with millions of mostly small donations (I believe the average donation was $27). If anyone in this election can make a strong case for not being beholden to “dark money”, it’s Bernie, and that ability can only help him in this election.

Q: Lastly, do you feel undecided republican and non-Trump supporters will vote for Bernie if the two battle it out for the election?

A: I personally believe Bernie will get the lion’s share of those voters, but I can’t speak for everyone. It all comes down to where their interests lie, how informed they are about each candidate, and whether they’re willing to put aside any biases they have for or against them.

 

Once again, big thanks to Paul for the help. I will be interviewing a college republican hopefully in the next seven days. But until then, don’t miss my coverage of the debate tomorrow night!

 

Brussels attacked: Change needs to be done

The tragic events that struck the Belgian capital of Brussels is yet again another European terrorist attack that has shook the world. Europe is going through major issues right now concerning terrorism and I have a few theories to why Europe is such a hotspot for these attacks.

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Photo credits to Jef Versele on Facebook

With at least 30 dead and over 230 wounded, this kind of attack is a devastating blow to not only Belgium, but to the world in the fight against radical Islam. With ISIS claiming complete responsibility of the attack, a new direction must be taken on the fight against the radical group.

Before I get into the Europe’s terrorism issues, I want to highlight what we know so far about the events in Brussels. During the Paris terrorist attack that occurred last November, only one known ISIS member survived. Salah Abdeslam, the most wanted man in Europe for the past 125 days, was finally arrested last week in the Belgium capital after four months on the run. Luckily, authorities were able to attain Abdeslam alive, enabling authorities to look for answers they don’t have. Although Abdeslam didn’t participate in the Paris attacks, he was responsible for transportation, finding apartments, and renting cars during the operation.

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Photo credits to the Belgian Federal Police 

So why Belgium? When the Paris attack was over, speculation that the remaining suspects fled to Belgium was the only lead law enforcement really had. Brussels is also home to NATO, an organization that has been vocal in stopping ISIS. Belgium is also home to a large number of Muslim communities that have poorly integrated with the population. This enables organizations like ISIS to manipulate the minds of those who are weak and poorly integrated, allowing recruitment for their causes.

I’m not necessarily saying these are the reasons why the attacks on Brussels happened today, but I can’t help but feel there might be a connection with Abdeslam.

Europe is facing a major crisis with terrorism and I have a few theories to why the continent is such a hotspot for these barbaric acts.

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Photo credit: CNN.com 

Geography:

Unfortunately, a lot of Europe’s terrorism problems are just bad luck. The continent is connected to the Middle East which causes major problems as terrorist groups can travel safer, smarter, and with a low profile through land. Unlike the United States, which has an entire body of water to protect itself from that side of the world, Europe is facing radical Islam right in their backyard. Since Europe is the closest “westernized” and democratic civilization next to Syria, where ISIS is headquartered, it only makes logical sense for Europe to be such a hotspot for terrorism.

 

Immigration:

Muslim immigration has been an inevitable part of recent European history. Many Muslims looking to escape the realm of ISIS respectfully look to a new life in Europe. Muslim populations have increased drastically in the past few decades. However, they still only make up a total of 7.6 percent of the entire population. The problem isn’t  Muslim immigration in Europe, but rather the integration of these people. The culture, the religion is very much different compared to Europe. Naturally, integration is an issue.

Open Borders:

If you are a citizen of a country within the EU, a passport is not needed to cross borders (excluding) Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Ireland, Romania, and the UK). Since verification is not required to travel through most countries within Europe, ISIS will have an easier time recruiting young Muslims who are citizens of the continent, allowing them to enter and leave as they please. Although this has economic benefits for travelers, workers, and for the monetary system, the open border policy is exactly what allows radicalized Europeans to leave and enter. If Europe didn’t have such a system, Abdeslam would not have easily been able to enter Belgium undetected.

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Photo credit: CNN.com

The events that unfolded before the world are tragic and heartbreaking. The war on ISIS continues. Everyday of fighting is another opportunity for the organization to strike. For progress, Europe needs to strengthen their own laws. The EU needs to make transportation in and out of different European nations more difficult in order to keep people safe. Lastly, Europe needs to help the Muslim communities within its borders integrate positively. Education is key and people need to fully understand that the actions of ISIS do not in anyway reflect the religion of Islam. As someone who has traveled to a Muslim country, I can say from experience the culture and the religion do not advocate violence and terrorism. Once Europe can unite its people and protect its borders, ISIS will have a more difficult time executing the tragic events we have seen in the last six months.